Skip to main content

Increased volume of Mexican raspberries coming


This is a vision of Evan Pence of Dole Diversified based in Philadelphia, Penn, about the winter season of raspberries of Mexico, complemented by charts from Agronometrics.



Original published in FreshPlaza.com on February 27, 2020

After a tricky winter season of berries out of Mexico, spring raspberries will see ample supplies.

“Raspberries are growing substantially. Late-March and April are heavy production months for us with Mexican raspberries,” says Evan Pence of Dole Diversified based in Philadelphia, Penn. “We anticipate a bit more this spring than last spring—about 15-20 percent more raspberries than last year’s production.”

Pence notes that peak for Mexican raspberries is the four-week window in April and then May starts to lighten up on volumes as production transitions to California. “We really want to be out of the Mexican market by mid-May,” he adds.

All of this follows a challenging start of 2020 Mexican raspberry production.

“They’ve been really tight and have been tight coming out of January,” says Pence, who adds that generally Dole focuses on two main production cycles--the fall and spring. “In between, we cut back the plants and tighten up our supplies a bit. But as an industry, supplies have also been somewhat tight.”

Volumes (kg) of mexican raspberries in the U.S. market.


Source: USDA Market News via Agronometrics. (Agronometrics users can
view this chart with live updates here)

Boost in demand

Meanwhile demand is strengthening for raspberries, especially over the past few weeks. “We have a tight blueberry market. The blackberry market is gaining momentum because of the tight blueberries. Strawberry supplies are starting to pick up substantially. Demand is really coming on and I don’t know if it has to do with Valentine’s Day or looking forward to the other spring holidays, but we’ve noticed demand recently picking up,” says Pence.

As for pricing, currently, it’s on par with last year in the $22-$26/6 oz. range. “That’s where we thought we’d be and we see it maybe strengthening a little more,” says Pence.

Looking ahead, Pence anticipates stable pricing throughout May. “Even though we have a slight uptick in volume, I don’t think there’s anything on the horizon out of Mexico causing us to panic or hold pricing where it’s at,” says Pence, adding that spring will be ideal for promotions. “For Mexico, in the fall we have a push on volume but generally at lower prices. With spring, we’re really excited because demand is there and the pricing is there with the volumes.”

Reported prices (US/12x6oz) of mexican raspberries in the U.S. market.


Source: USDA Market News via Agronometrics. (Agronometrics users can
view this chart with live updates here)

The Mexican picture

Overall, this season has been a challenging one for berries out of Mexico. “They’ve had some weather that’s led to some quality problems on strawberries and blackberries, especially out of Michoacán,” says Pence. “Those issues really put a monkey wrench into quality arrivals which led us to tighten our quality control specifications which led to overall reduced volumes.”

He adds that while overall crossings on blackberries are down, strawberries and blueberries also saw tighter markets with weaker quality compared to other years out of Mexico. “And here was the conundrum of the Mexican berry deal this year: lower volumes but no higher pricing,” he says. “It’s head scratching.”

That said, overall development continues on Mexico’s berry programs. “There’s so much attractive there—growing conditions, weather generally, availability of labor and more,” says Pence. “Mexico will continue to be a shining star for berry programs in general.”

Access the original article with this (Link).

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Avocados In Charts - Prices are falling and why are they likely to settle below 2018

Agronometrics has often spoken about what is to come and how the market could be affected. We hold a strong belief in being able to look at objective data can help navigate complicated scenarios. The recent spike in prices that avocados have seen is an example of one of these scenarios, catching many by surprise at a time of the year where we had never seen movements like this before. This can be seen in the chart below where the 2019 line has towered above all other prices since Sept. 2017 and every price recorded for June in the last five years.

Historic Hass Avocado Prices


Source: USDA Market News via Agronometrics. (Agronometrics users can
view this chart with live updates here)
Comparing the volumes of this year to the last can offer some insight as to how these prices have come about. Considering the prices were almost flat last year, the volume data serves as a great benchmark to understand where customers expectations lie.

In this year’s data, an important oversupply can be …

The table grape industry is in uncharted territory right now

Overview of the potential impact of COVID-19 on future grape supply and price, by Ira Greenstein of Direct Source Marketing, complemented by charts from Agronometrics.



Original published in FreshPlaza.com on March 24, 2020

While the Chilean and Peruvian grape seasons are winding down and their weekly volumes are decreasing, the table grape industry has seen an uptick in demand in the past weeks. This is partially a result of the high retail movements due to the coronavirus panic-shopping of the past few weeks. Ira Greenstein of Direct Source Marketing says: “A month ago, importers had a real concern that the industry wouldn’t be able to move through the condensed volumes and huge inventories would be sitting in cold storages. That sentiment has completely reversed with substantially increased retail demand due to the COVID-19 pandemic.”

With the lower volumes but increasing demand, the cold stores are rapidly being depleted and spot market pricing is expected to continue to increase, …

Price Alerts! are here for all

As we bring price alerts to Agronometrics we thought we would pen a piece on our thinking behind the service as well as the methodology for it.

The idea for the Alerts arose from our conversations with the industry, where several people expressed high interest in knowing when there are important changes in the market prices that could affect their business.

This impetus created the Price Alerts! service, whereby we monitor daily average prices of every commodity on our platform, so that you don’t have to. As soon as the difference in price reaches a certain threshold you get an email alerting you of said price change. You can take a look at our sample report through this link (US Avocado Price Alert!)

In order not overflow our users with these email alerts, we have used some fancy statistical analysis and determined the required values so as to send some 12 alerts per year for each commodity. In the table below you will find the list of commodities along with their estimated limits t…