Skip to main content

Pears in Charts: USA Pears CEO on two interesting factors this season


In response to the article we wrote a couple of weeks ago, I spoke to Kevin Moffitt, the President and CEO of USA Pears. He had some more insight about the upcoming pear season, which I wanted to share with our readers in this week’s In Charts installment.

Because the last article focused on the Washington market data, Kevin was prompted to mention that the Hood River district, in Oregon, is forecasting more pears than the Wenatchee district in Washington - the first time this has happened in many years. Washington, however, will still put up the largest numbers overall.

From the standpoint of a market analyst, this is an interesting development, we don't know if the switch between Hood River and Wenatchee will be a one time event or not, but it does seem to reinforce the downward trend that has been observed in Washington fruit over the last five years against an increased market share for Oregon.

Non-Organic Pears Volumes Sold on the Domestic Market by State of Origin


Source: USDA Market News via Agronometrics. (Agronometrics users can
view this chart with live updates here)

Another important item that Kevin mentioned based on the previous article was the possible effect that a strong grape season could have on pear prices.

I pulled the data to create the chart below comparing grape volumes next to pear volumes. Considering grapes commercialize about three times the volume of pears, we set them on different axes to show where the crops overlap. The biggest impact that grapes could have on pears should be towards the beginning of the season in September, October and November - at the height of the U.S. grape season, as pears come online.

Last year California grapes had a banner season, greatly oversupplying the market and pushing down prices. We wrote a more in-depth analysis of this last month in our Grapes in Charts article.

Kevin believes that the grapes made a complicated pear market tougher. They flooded grocery store shelves and took a larger percentage of ad space for promotions, leaving less room for pears. What’s more, rock bottom prices for grapes make an attractive purchase for clients, and "at the end of the day how many pounds of fruit will people really purchase, although they should eat much more fruits and vegetables".

With Grapes expected to be 3% down on last year's crop, the relationship between these two commodities will be an interesting one to follow.

Non-Organic Pear and Grape Volumes


Source: USDA Market News via Agronometrics. (Agronometrics users can
view this chart with live updates here)


Written by: Colin Fain
Original published in FreshFruitPortal.com on September 17, 2019 (Link)

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Blueberry boom: Worldwide growth creates challenges for NW producers

Overview of the northwest blueberry season by Doug Krahmer of Berries Northwest, Cort Brazelton of Fall Creek Farm and Nursery, Kasey Cronquist of the U.S. Highbush Blueberry Council and Mark Hurst of Hurst's Berry Farm, complemented by charts from Agronometrics. Original published in www.capitalpress.com  on July 30, 2020 ALBANY, Ore. — On a seasonably warm July afternoon in the fertile Willamette Valley, Doug Krahmer stood between rows of organic blueberries and watched as a large mechanical harvester rolled slowly through the field, rattling bushes heavy with ripe fruit. Measuring a little more than 15 feet tall, 11 feet wide and weighing 7 tons, the harvester seemingly floated in the distance over neat rows while fiberglass rods, or “fingers,” shook the berries onto a conveyor belt that swooped them to the upper deck and into plastic crates. From there, the crates were loaded into refrigerated trucks and driven from the farm north of Albany, Ore., to a packing shed ea

Agronometrics in Charts: Berry prices in the U.S. market

This week we're going to check out how prices of blueberries, raspberries, strawberries and blackberries have been behaving in the U.S. market compared to previous seasons. Blueberries Let's start with blueberries, which over recent weeks have seen similar prices to 2019, although they have improved somewhat over the last two weeks. Looking at the chart below, we can see that in week 42, the average price of conventional blueberries was US$9.07 per kilo, which is 8% higher than in 2019. Volumes are coming from Mexico and Peru. Prices of non-organic blueberries in the U.S. market (USD per kilo) Source: USDA Market News via Agronometrics . (Agronometrics users can view this chart with live updates here ) Raspberries Raspberries meanwhile have throughout this year experience sharp peaks and valleys, although in recent weeks prices have tended to stabilize. As can be seen in the chart below, in week 42 prices were US$8.39 per kilo, which is 18% up on 2019. The U.S

Agronometrics in Charts: The Role of Mexican Blueberries in the U.S. Market

As Mexico's season just reached its peak, the opportunity lends itself to look a bit deeper at the origin in the U.S. markets. The rise of Mexican blueberries in the U.S. market has been no small achievement. In 2010, they represented a mere blip on the map. In 2019, with 75 M lbs, they were the second largest importer of fresh blueberries to the U.S., second only to Chile, but with Peru trailing closely behind Mexico. Historic Volumes | Non-Organic Source: USDA Market News via Agronometrics . (Agronometrics users can view this chart with live updates here ) In 2010, the landscape for blueberries was very different from what it is today. Chile has grown considerably, the U.S.’s production has evened out more, pushing more volume into April and May, and of course, Mexico is now a primary source through this time period.   U.S. Volumes by Origin 2010 | Non-Organic   U.S. Volumes by Origin 2019 | Non-Organic Source: USDA Market News via Agronometrics . (Agrono